E-Commerce:
Filled With Potential, Filled With Flaws
Online sales conducted between businesses may go over $3.2
trillion by 2003, according to new data released by Forrester Research Inc.
"Companies that seek to get online face a chaotic
e-commerce landscape in 1999," Varda Lief, Business, Trade and
Technology analyst at Forrester, said. "A combination of internal
organizational issues, uncertain technologies and a range of growing market
models challenge every firm that wants to buy or sell products over the
Internet."
Leif said firms that will succeed are those able to
establish a progressive Web interface first. Forrester said that worldwide
online sales should reach $3.2 trillion by 2003 as opposed to the $55-80
billion estimated in sales for 1998. The analyst said that by 2003, online
trade between companies should reach 1.3 trillion in the US alone. At that
point, the Forrester report predicts that Internet commerce will represent
over 9 percent of all business sales. Industries such as the computer
business are expected to use the Internet for as much as 23 percent of all
transactions.
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New research published by Shelley Taylor highlights many of
the user issues growing around online commerce sites.
Taylor & Associates presented the "Click-Here
Commerce" report at a briefing in Silicon Valley. After gathering data
for an international study of the success factors of online stores, Taylor
concludes that today's Web outlets need to simplify their features in order
to meet the needs of consumers. While industry leaders such as Intel Corp.
are busy focusing new initiatives on speeding PC performance to enable more
comprehensive e-commerce, the study said that Web shops should get back to
basics and apply more traditional retailing knowledge to their sites.
Among the companies that have the best-rated e-commerce
sites, according to Taylor, are CDNow, Barnes and Noble, Brainplay, Lands
End and Blockbuster. The report analyzed some 50 consumer sites marketing a
wide range of products including technology, entertainment, books and music,
apparel, sporting goods, and travel services.
Taylor & Associates uses 175 proprietary evaluation
criteria to rate the content and activities offered at each online store.
"Online stores fail to translate the lessons learned from centuries of
land-based retailing and merchandising into successful online
shopping," contends Taylor, managing director and author of the study.
"Even though technology has changed, the way we humans process
purchasing decisions has remained the same."
Taylor contends that sites which require consumers to use
technologies like new browser versions, downloaded plug-ins, and high modem
speeds may actually discourage first time shoppers and laptop users with
older equipment. The study indicates that only two of the 50 rated companies
provided a reduced bandwidth or text only-option. Only one site specified
the minimum browsr required required for viewing the site. The researchers
suggested that including these simplified features would boost e-commerce
adoption.
The study also criticizes a lack of site navigation
information in many online stores. According to Taylor, 24 percent of the
sites researched lacked global navigation, which the researcher defines as
tools that allow users to move between major sections of a site. Only 8
percent of the sites provided contextual navigation, the Web-based
equivalent of a brick and mortar mall's "you are here" map.
Another fault highlighted in the report is a general lack of
sufficient product information. Some 24 percent of the tested online stores
offer no pre-sale assistance and 32 percent failed to provide purchase
instructions. While two-thirds of the e-commerce sites offered some product
specifications, only 12 percent provide third-party reviews.
One technology that the study recommends for development is
the shopping cart feature offered on many sites. Taylor said that to be more
effective the carts should list selected items on every page at a site. Only
8 percent of the sites provide a current list of cart contents on each page.
Other analysts have predicted that the high-end design
approach being pushed by developers like Intel will help increase the
adoption of e-commerce. Intel is marketing its new Pentium III
microprocessor as a major breakthrough for PC users accessing the Internet.
"The kind of PC buyers who are looking to shop online
are for the most part willing to move toward the high-end PCs," said
Van Baker, analyst for Dataquest. "Developing better three-dimensional
(3-D) content with Web site designers may help Intel convince users to move
from Pentium II PCs to Pentium III machines."
Baker added that using technologies to close the "touch
and feel" gap which exists between shopping in person and purchasing
online will also spur growth of e-commerce.
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According to a recent survey, one-third of Vancouver's top
companies don't reply to simple e-mails generated from their Website, or
don't employ an e-mail link. But, says corporate Internet strategy expert
Tod Maffin, that's better by twice the national average.
Maffin conducted the survey anonymously on February 16 by
visiting corporate Websites, searching for their e-mail link and sending
them a message reading: "Hi, could you please tell me your mailing
address. Also, what is your Web site's URL? Thank you."
His mailing included 200 companies in 23 industry categories
and included ten Canadian national corporations.
The study found that public sector organizations scored best
overall, while advertising agencies did worst. Maffin found industries that
deal directly with consumers ranked poorest as a group.
He comments: "If Vancouver's companies were in grade
school, they would have just passed with a D grade. Just. As a whole,
companies were only 50 percent effective in their use of e-mail with a
prospective customer."
"Clearly, we've still got a long way to go," he
says. "Many Canadian consumers already use Websites as their only means
of communicating with a company. If companies don't find a way to build that
relationship online, they simply won't be around in the next decade."
Maffin reports that in North America, only 10 or 15 percent
of companies that maintain Websites use them to full effectiveness. "I
think Vancouver is probably ahead of the game, quite frankly. My sense is
that, with the exception perhaps of New York, San Francisco and Vancouver,
the results would probably be worse."
He reveals that one of the best tests to measure whether a
corporate Website is utilizing their e-mail well, "is whether or not
they engage someone in dialogue." He explains that while his missive
was a very simple e-mail: "That could have been a potential investor or
a potential customer, or an existing customer, and most companies just kind
of spat back the information. The good companies took some time and
responded well."
Maffin concludes that companies fail to use
Website-generated e-mail to build relationships with potential customers. In
most cases, they're not even trying, he says.
In his survey's introduction he writes: "Many Internet
surfers know the frustration of finding a company's Web site, and trying in
vain to find a way to contact the company quickly from the site. If there's
an e-mail address or feedback form on the site at all, in many cases the
e-mail goes ignored for weeks (or forever)."
The survey ranked respondents against four criteria: How
easy was it to find an e-mail address on the site? How fast did they reply
to a very basic question? Did the reply answer the question completely? What
was the tone of the e-mail, helpful, abrupt, polite, rude?
To ensure stability, a 24-hour dedicated high-speed Internet
connection coupled to a Pentium-266 with 64 MB of RAM was used during the
study.
The full report is available for free download at http://maffin.net/survey/
(Contact: Tod Maffin, e-mail survey@maffin.net)
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If your local mall or department store seems less crowded
these days, it may be virtually and actually true. " Shopping
2000," a survey conducted by Greenfield Online, finds that 39 percent
of consumers with access to the Internet say they go to the store or mall
less often, now that the variety of online shopping choices has dramatically
increased.
"These results are significant to retailers, since
Americans who use the Internet hold 60 percent of the buying power of the
total US population," explains Rudy Nadilo, Greenfield's CEO.
The study was conducted for sale to Greenfield clients, but
highlights are available on the company's Website.
The survey shows an online success story among book buyers.
One of every two Internet-enabled people buy books on the Web and online
book marketers are poised to surpass mall bookstores, the figures reveal.
Consumers say they are just as likely to make actual purchases online (49
percent) as at the mall (51 percent). However, the demise of local
bookstores is not yet imminent. Some 63 percent of consumers still visit
their local bookstore to buy. Still, they do an equal amount of their
browsing for availability and price online (64 percent) as they do at their
local bookstore (63 percent).
When it comes to buying computer software, the study shows
that while the tendency to window-shop online is about the same as at local
stores (70 percent vs. 71 percent), the Internet still trails the local
store as the place where wired consumers make their actual software
purchases (49 percent vs. 68 percent). The Internet, however has overtaken
malls by a margin of 49 percent vs. 42 percent, and catalogs by 49 percent
vs. 22 percent, as a point of purchase for software.
In the soft goods department, shopping for apparel online is
now almost as popular as shopping in catalogs. More consumers (38 percent)
still leaf through catalogs than browse online (30 percent), yet malls (75
percent) and local stores (70 percent) still rule for window shopping. When
it comes to making actual purchases - online, at 18 percent - is nearly as
popular as catalogs at 22 percent. Nevertheless online and catalog retailers
are still not as popular as malls (68 percent) and local stores (66 percent)
when consumers reach for their wallets to buy.
Among some other key findings: 33 percent of respondents say
the two best things about online shopping are that it is quick, and it is
easy to compare prices. Twenty-seven percent say they can shop easily and
quickly any time they like. As for store/mall shopping: 69 percent like the
fact one can see/feel/touch/try the products before buying and 25 percent
like the instant gratification of being able to get their products
immediately. Twenty-nine percent like catalog shopping because catalogs are
fun to browse through, while 16 percent like to take time to make up their
mind.
Some results add up to more than 100 percent, Janensch
concedes: "There could be multiple answers and you could actually check
more than one box."
The study, done between December 23, 1998 and January 6,
1999, tracks the Internet's effect on consumer shopping attitudes and
behavior based on a sample of 1,286 respondents, drawn from an Internet-user
panel of nearly one million people The sample is representative of the
Internet population in terms of age, gender and region. "The study was
fielded on the Internet in a password-protected site," Janensch states.
The company's Website is at http://www.greenfieldcentral.com.
(Contact: Gail Janensch at 203-429-0111: e-mail: gailj@greenfieldcentral.com)
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